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UK shares have done really well in 2025. Year to date, the FTSE 100 index is up about 18%. However, gold’s done even better. Currently, the precious metal’s showing a gain of around 50% for the year to date.
The question is: which asset class will make me more money in 2026?
Could gold hit $5,000?
Gold’s in a strong uptrend right now. This is being fuelled by a range of factors including huge government deficits, economic uncertainty, geopolitical uncertainty, a lack of faith in the US dollar, and concerns that US Federal Reserve independence could be compromised.
Many experts expect the trend to stay in place in 2026. For example, Metals Focus, a UK-based precious metals consultancy, recently predicted that gold will challenge the $5,000 per ounce level in 2026.
Other firms that have mentioned $5,000 as a price target for 2026 include Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan. If it was to hit that level, it would represent a gain of about 25% from here.
The thing is, while I totally understand why gold’s seeing high demand right now, the commodity has run hard recently. Looking at a 30-year chart, the price has gone a little ‘parabolic’ recently.
History shows that these kinds of price movements are unsustainable. So I actually wouldn’t be surprised if gold delivered disappointing returns in 2026.
Of course, with gold, there are no earnings or income, so it’s impossible to value it accurately. So no one really knows how much it’s worth.
UK shares with strong potential
Turning to UK shares, major indexes here have also run pretty hard recently. As I said above, the FTSE 100’s up 18% this year. That’s a big gain. The average return for this index over the last 20 calendar years is about 6.3%.
It’s worth noting that a lot of larger constituents in this index have had a really strong year. For example, HSBC‘s gained nearly 40% while Rolls-Royce is up nearly 100%.
I don’t expect to see these kinds of gains again next year. So returns from the index could be underwhelming.
That said, there are a lot of individual UK shares that appear to have a ton of potential. An example here is London Stock Exchange Group (LSE: LSEG), which is Now one of the world’s leading financial data providers.
It’s underperformed the market this year and currently trades for about £94. However, the average analyst 12-month price target is £124 – roughly 32% higher.
Of course, broker price targets are just forecasts. Often, they don’t come to fruition.
However, in this stock’s case, I see a lot of potential share price drivers including:
- The launch of new AI products (developed with Microsoft)
- The realisation by investors that AI isn’t killing its business
- A large share buyback
- A refocus on ‘quality’ in the stock market
- A valuation re-rating (it currently trades on a low price-to-earnings ratio of 21)
Now, the stock isn’t bullet-proof. There are risks around customer spending, competition from rivals, and sentiment towards tech shares.
I’m backing it to make me more money than gold in 2026 however, and I think it’s worth a look. Currently, it’s my largest UK stock holding.
